Tuesday, November 10, 2020

The Covid-19 timeline: a one-year anniversary, our first "Holiday Season", and sharing with a mink


This month we will observe the one year anniversary of the earliest confirmed Covid-19 infection which hospitalized a man on November 17, 2019, though no one knew what was going on. It wasn't until December 27, Zhang Jixian, a doctor from Hubei Provincial Hospital of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine, told China’s health authorities that the disease was caused by a new coronavirus. That is how it began...

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During a two-week period beginning December 31, 2019, numerous news articles and research papers were published by the Chinese and others regarding the new virus. On January 8, 2020, the U.S. Center for Diseas Control (CDC) established a COVID-19 Incident Management System.

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Two months later the first confirmed case occurred in Sonhomish County, Washington which was soon followed by cases in Illinois and California. And so it continued....

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During the week prior to February 16, 2020, the GSM Association canceled the Mobile World Congress 2020 which was to have been held in Barcelona between February 24th and the 27th. It was canceled because of the Covid-19 pandemic. The conference was focused on implementation of 5G. The cancellation was noted here in a post because most Americans were still not fully aware of the threat for another two weeks. (Posts are highlighted on timeline.)

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In order to prepare hospitals for a rush of patients, California becomes the first state to issue pandemic stay-at-home orders after San Francisco Bay Area counties and Los Angeles County take the lead.

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California methodically lifts some stay-at-home orders to permit a what will hopefully be a limited pandemic surge.

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California Covid-19 hospitalizations peaked at a low level and by mid-August new hospitalizations clearly were declining at a rapid pace.

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By the beginning of September, California's Covid-19 death rate also began declining at a significant pace.

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In early September California establishes a statewide four-tier system for counties to determine what stay-at-home/closure measures would apply within the county based upon pandemic case statistics.

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As we approach the passing of a year since the world's earliest confirmed Covid-19 infection, the response to the concern about California's relative response success expressed in the October 6 post - "will we continue to behave" - appears to be a "no":


As with all Americans, for the first time Californians are approaching the Thanksgiving through New Years Day traditional family and friends gathering dates. Will all our counties in late January be in the "Purple" Tier 1?

And last, but not least, we have recently been informed that mink get the virus from humans which are passed to other humans, but with evolved mutations. Indications are this will not make the vaccines totally ineffective, but over a longer period today's vaccine likely will require supplementation with variations, analogous to annual flu shots which each year include three or four different variants...and which sometimes don't include a newly evolved variant which becomes a pandemic. Keep in mind it's new. It's not the flu. This happens.

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